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1.
N Z Med J ; 135: 77-81, 2022 04 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1897957

ABSTRACT

AIMS: The global COVID-19 pandemic and lockdowns have affected the patterns of hospital presentations for non-COVID related illnesses. Apprehension and perceived risk of hospitalisation has been postulated to be a significant deterrent to presentation. This study aims to explore pandemic- and- lockdown-related concerns with regards to hospital admission from a patient's perspective. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was undertaken in the form of an inpatient questionnaire for patients admitted to a coronary care unit and the cardiology ward during the Level 4 lockdown. The questionnaire included six questions designed to gather patient perception of the impact of lockdown on their hospital presentation. RESULTS: Out of 91 patients who completed the questionnaire, 41 (45%) were >70 years old. Twenty (22%) patients answered that lockdown delayed or affected their decision to present to hospital. Within this cohort, there was a statistical difference between those aged 70 years and younger, and those over 70 years old (16/50 (32%) versus 4/41 (10%), p=0.011). CONCLUSIONS: Apprehension and concerns regarding the risk of COVID-19 was prevalent in a significant proportion of patients and affected/delayed their decision to present to hospital. This may partly explain lower rates of presentation during the pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemics , Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , Communicable Disease Control , Cross-Sectional Studies , Hospitalization , Humans , New Zealand
2.
The New Zealand Medical Journal (Online) ; 135(1552):77, 2022.
Article in English | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-1782033

ABSTRACT

AIM: The August 2021 COVID-19 outbreak in Auckland caused the New Zealand Government to transition from an elimination strategy to suppression, which relies heavily on high vaccination rates in the population. As restrictions ease and as COVID-19 spreads throughout New Zealand, there is a need to understand how different levels of vaccination will impact the initial stages of COVID-19 outbreaks that are seeded around the country. METHOD: A stochastic branching process model is used to simulate the initial spread of a COVID-19 outbreak for different vaccination rates. RESULTS: High vaccination rates are effective at minimizing the number of infections and hospitalizations. Increasing vaccination rates from 20% (approximate value at the start of the August 2021 outbreak) to 80% (approximate proposed target) of the total population can reduce the median number of infections that occur within the first four weeks of an outbreak from 1011 to 14 (25th and 75th quantiles of 545-1602 and 2-32 for V=20% and V=80%, respectively). As the vaccination rate increases, the number of breakthrough infections (infections in fully vaccinated individuals) and hospitalisations of vaccinated individuals increases. Unvaccinated individuals, however, are 3.3x more likely to be infected with COVID-19 and 25x more likely to be hospitalised. CONCLUSION: This work demonstrates the importance of vaccination in protecting individuals from COVID-19, preventing high caseloads, and minimising the number of hospitalisations and hence limiting the pressure on the healthcare system.

3.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 5: 100056, 2020 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-939121

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Countries with a high incidence of coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) reported reduced hospitalisations for acute coronary syndromes (ACS) during the pandemic. This study describes the impact of a nationwide lockdown on ACS hospitalisations in New Zealand (NZ), a country with a low incidence of COVID-19. METHODS: All patients admitted to a NZ Hospital with ACS who underwent coronary angiography in the All NZ ACS Quality Improvement registry during the lockdown (23 March - 26 April 2020) were compared with equivalent weeks in 2015-2019. Ambulance attendances and regional community troponin-I testing were compared for lockdown and non-lockdown (1 July 2019 to 16 February 2020) periods. FINDINGS: Hospitalisation for ACS was lower during the 5-week lockdown (105 vs. 146 per-week, rate ratio 0•72 [95% CI 0•61-0•83], p = 0.003). This was explained by fewer admissions for non-ST-segment elevation ACS (NSTE-ACS; p = 0•002) but not ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI; p = 0•31). Patient characteristics and in-hospital mortality were similar. For STEMI, door-to-balloon times were similar (70 vs. 72 min, p = 0•52). For NSTE-ACS, there was an increase in percutaneous revascularisation (59% vs. 49%, p<0•001) and reduction in surgical revascularisation (9% vs. 15%, p = 0•005). There were fewer ambulance attendances for cardiac arrests (98 vs. 110 per-week, p = 0•04) but no difference for suspected ACS (408 vs. 420 per-week, p = 0•44). Community troponin testing was lower throughout the lockdown (182 vs. 394 per-week, p<0•001). INTERPRETATION: Despite the low incidence of COVID-19, there was a nationwide decrease in ACS hospitalisations during the lockdown. These findings have important implications for future pandemic planning. FUNDING: The ANZACS-QI registry receives funding from the New Zealand Ministry of Health.

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